Harbor ASI
Deliverable 03 · Verified

Exposure Quantification & Remediation Plan

Harbor quantifies the cost of every unregistered-nexus state under two scenarios — getting caught on audit vs. proactively disclosing — and recommends the cheaper, lower-risk path. It also scans the other direction for tax Hearthstone has been over-collecting and can recover.

Worst-Case Exposure
$15.2M
If audited across all gaps
Cost via VDA
$11.7M
6 states recommended
Savings from Acting Now
$3.5M
Penalty waiver + lookback cap
Recoverable Over-Collection
$1.1M
Refund claims

Exposure by state (worst-case)

Back-tax + interest + penalty if assessed on audit

The net picture for the CFO

What it actually costs to get fully compliant

Worst-case audit exposure$15,174,565
− Penalty waived + lookback capped (VDA)($3,450,729)
= Cost via voluntary disclosure$11,723,836
− Recoverable over-collection($1,086,000)
Net cost to full compliance$10,637,836

Acting now converts an unquantified, compounding ~$15.2M liability into a bounded ~$10.6M net outlay.

Unregistered-state exposure & remediation

MS

Mississippi

Nexus: economic · est. January 1, 2023
Recommend VDA7.06% rate
Taxable sales (open)
$42.7M
Back tax
$3,011,280
If audited
$4,362,592
Via VDA
$3,049,596

Pursue a Voluntary Disclosure Agreement. The VDA caps the lookback at 3 years and waives the 25% failure-to-file penalty, saving ~$1,312,996 versus an audit assessment. Because exposure arose from economic nexus, the historical liability is bounded by the crossing date. Register prospectively on the VDA effective date.

WV

West Virginia

Nexus: economic · est. January 1, 2023
Recommend VDA6.57% rate
Taxable sales (open)
$26.9M
Back tax
$1,764,577
If audited
$2,546,689
Via VDA
$1,785,428

Pursue a Voluntary Disclosure Agreement. The VDA caps the lookback at 3 years and waives the 25% failure-to-file penalty, saving ~$761,261 versus an audit assessment. Because exposure arose from economic nexus, the historical liability is bounded by the crossing date. Register prospectively on the VDA effective date.

ID

Idaho

Nexus: both · est. March 14, 2022
Recommend VDA6.03% rate
Taxable sales (open)
$29.9M
Back tax
$1,804,040
If audited
$2,494,085
Via VDA
$1,754,476

Pursue a Voluntary Disclosure Agreement. The VDA caps the lookback at 3 years and waives the 25% failure-to-file penalty, saving ~$739,609 versus an audit assessment. Long-standing physical presence makes the open (unfiled) period unlimited — the VDA's lookback cap is especially valuable here. Register prospectively on the VDA effective date.

NM

New Mexico

Nexus: both · est. May 20, 2024
Register & go forward7.62% rate
Taxable sales (open)
$19.8M
Back tax
$1,511,931
If audited
$2,006,616
Via VDA
$2,481,233

Exposure is modest (~$2,006,616 worst-case). Register and begin collecting prospectively; the limited prior exposure can be reserved or addressed via a streamlined VDA if the state initiates contact. Penalty risk does not justify a full VDA negotiation.

ME

Maine

Nexus: economic · est. January 1, 2023
Recommend VDA5.50% rate
Taxable sales (open)
$21.0M
Back tax
$1,157,716
If audited
$1,626,109
Via VDA
$1,143,439

Pursue a Voluntary Disclosure Agreement. The VDA caps the lookback at 3 years and waives the 25% failure-to-file penalty, saving ~$482,670 versus an audit assessment. Because exposure arose from economic nexus, the historical liability is bounded by the crossing date. Register prospectively on the VDA effective date.

HI

Hawaii

Nexus: economic · est. January 1, 2023
Recommend VDA4.50% rate
Taxable sales (open)
$21.0M
Back tax
$947,216
If audited
$1,351,361
Via VDA
$944,970

Pursue a Voluntary Disclosure Agreement. The VDA caps the lookback at 3 years and waives the 25% failure-to-file penalty, saving ~$406,391 versus an audit assessment. Because exposure arose from economic nexus, the historical liability is bounded by the crossing date. Register prospectively on the VDA effective date.

VT

Vermont

Nexus: both · est. February 1, 2023
Recommend VDA6.36% rate
Taxable sales (open)
$8.8M
Back tax
$557,248
If audited
$787,113
Via VDA
$564,694

Pursue a Voluntary Disclosure Agreement. The VDA caps the lookback at 3 years and waives the 25% failure-to-file penalty, saving ~$222,419 versus an audit assessment. Long-standing physical presence makes the open (unfiled) period unlimited — the VDA's lookback cap is especially valuable here. Register prospectively on the VDA effective date.

Reverse audit — over-collected tax (recoverable)

Harbor scans both sides. These are amounts Hearthstone collected in error — recoverable via refund claims, with the AvaTax mapping fix to stop the leak.

FindingStateCategoryRefund
OC-01

AvaTax taxed apparel SKUs in Pennsylvania at the full rate. Pennsylvania exempts wearing apparel (72 P.S. § 7204(26)). 14 months of loungewear sales were over-collected.

PALoungewear, Robes & Slippers$384,000
OC-02

Clothing taxed in New Jersey despite the full apparel exemption (N.J.S.A. § 54:32B-8.4). Mapping error in the AvaTax item code.

NJLoungewear, Robes & Slippers$268,500
OC-03

Minnesota clothing exemption (§ 297A.67 subd. 8) not applied to robes and slippers.

MNLoungewear, Robes & Slippers$121,300
OC-04

Texas grocery-food items taxed where exempt; bakery/pantry SKUs mis-mapped to the taxable snack code.

TXGourmet Food & Snacks$96,800
OC-05

California separately-stated common-carrier delivery taxed in error on ~3% of e-commerce orders (handling not parsed from freight).

CAShipping & Delivery Charges$142,000
OC-06

Massachusetts $175-per-item apparel exemption not applied; items under the cap taxed in full.

MALoungewear, Robes & Slippers$73,400
Total recoverable$1,086,000